Archived Papers

FHI published several books and many dozens of papers in a variety of venues. Most of these can be found online with their publishers, but there are some which were only published as technical reports or pieces on the FHI website. These are preserved here for posterity.

Technical Reports

Some papers were too brief, technical, or far from the mainstream interest to warrant journal publication. These were published as FHI technical reports, and are all gathered together in this complete archive.

• Global Catastrophic Risks Survey, Sandberg A & Bostrom N. #2008-1

• Record of the Workshop on Policy Foresight and Global Catastrophic Risk, Tickell, C., et al. #2008-2

• Whole Brain Emulation: A Roadmap, Sandberg, A. & Bostrom, N. #2008-3

• Utility indifference, Armstrong, S. #2010-1

• Machine Intelligence Survey, Sandberg, A. & Bostrom, N. #2011-1

• Indefinite survival through backup copies, Sandberg, A. & Armstrong, S. #2012-1

• Anthropics: why Probability isn’t enough, Armstrong, S. #2012-2

• Nash equilibrium of identical agents facing the Unilateralist's Curse, Armstrong, S. #2012-3

• Racing to the Precipice: a Model of Artificial Intelligence Development, Armstrong, S., Bostrom, N., & Shulman, C. #2013-1

• Existential Risk and Existential Hope: Definitions, Cotton-Barratt, O. & Ord, T. #2015-1

• Allocating risk mitigation across time, Cotton-Barratt, O. #2015-2

• MDL Intelligence Distillation: Exploring strategies for safe access to superintelligent problem-solving capabilities, Drexler, K.E. #2015-3

• Systemic Risk of Modelling in Insurance: Did your model tell you all models are wrong?, Snyder-Beattie, A., et al. #2015-4

• Strategic Implications of Openness in AI Development, Bostrom, N. #2016-1

• Anthropic decision theory for self-locating beliefs, Armstrong, S. #2017-1

• Space races: settling the universe fast, Sandberg, A. #2018-1

• Predicting Human Deliberative Judgments with Machine Learning, Evans O, Stuhlmüller A, Cundy C, Carey R, Kenton Z, McGrath T & Schreiber A #2018-2

• Reframing Superintelligence: Comprehensive AI Services as General Intelligence, Drexler, E. #2019-1

• Proposal for a New UK National Institute for Biological Security Nelson, C. & Lewis, G. #2020-1

• Proposal for a New ‘Three Lines of Defence’ Approach to UK Risk Management, Ord, T. #2021-1

• The Parliamentary Approach to Moral Uncertainty, Newberry, T. & Ord, T. #2021-2

• QNRs: Toward Language for Intelligent Machines, Drexler, E. #2021-3

• Improving Judgments of Existential Risk: Better Forecasts, Questions, Explanations, Policies, Karger, E, Atanasov, P., & Tetlock, P. #2022-1

• Defining happiness: a pragmatic introduction, Sandberg, A. & Jedlovszky, K. #2022-2

• Happiness and Industry 4.0, Sandberg, A. & Jedlovszky, K. #2022-3

• Future of Humanity Institute 2005-2024: Final Report, Sandberg, A. #2024-1

The full citation style for these technical reports is:

Sandberg, A. & Bostrom, N. (2008): “Global Catastrophic Risks Survey”, Technical Report #2008-1, Future of Humanity Institute, Oxford University: pp. 1-5.

Other Papers from the FHI website

A collection of papers and reports from the now-closed FHI website, which were either unavailable elsewhere or very difficult to access:

• Risks and mitigation strategies for oracle AI, Stuart Armstrong, 2013.

• Drones, counterfactuals, and equilibria: Challenges in evaluating new military technologies, Toby Ord, 2014.

• Global poverty and the demands of morality, Toby Ord, 2014.

• Unprecedented technological risks, Nick Beckstead et al., 2014.

• Managing existential risk from emerging technology, Nick Beckstead and Toby Ord, 2014.

• Monte Carlo model of brain emulation development, Anders Sandberg, 2014.

• Off-policy Monte Carlo agents with variable behaviour policies, Stuart Armstrong, 2015.

• Motivated Value Selection for Artificial Agents, Stuart Armstrong, 2015.

• Existential Risks: Diplomacy and Governance, Sebastian Farquhar et al., 2017.

• How useful is quantilization for mitigating specification-gaming? Ryan Carey, 2019.

• UK Government’s approach to emerging infectious diseases and bioweapons, Cassidy Nelson, et al., 2019.

• Consultation on the European Commission’s White Paper on Artificial Intelligence: a European approach to excellence and trust, Centre for the Governance of AI, 2020.

• Language for Intelligent Machines: A Prospectus, Eric Drexler, 2021.

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